We would like to answer the following questions regarding the vehicles of the future.
1/ How much will cost an hydrogen
car compare to an ICE car (internal combustion engine), an electric car or an hybrid electric
car?
2/ How much will cost to fuel an hydrogen
car compare to a ICE car ?
3/ How much energy is needed for driving 100km for the different car technologies?
The aim of the below table is to answer those questions and to visualize the trends in 20 years:
Item
|
Year
|
ICE car
|
Hybrid car
|
Electric car
|
Hydrogen car
|
Car price
(keuros)
Class A/B
|
2023
|
11(1)
|
15(2)
|
17(3)
|
20(4)
|
2013
|
(5)
|
(6)
|
28 (7)
|
50 (8)
|
2003
|
(9)
|
(10)
|
(11)
|
(12)
|
Cost for 100km
(euros)
|
2023
|
(13)
|
(14)
|
(15)
|
(16)
|
2013
|
(17)
|
(18)
|
(19)
|
(20)
|
2003
|
(21)
|
(22)
|
(23)
|
(24)
|
Autonomy with 1 fill
(Km)
|
2023
|
>800(25)
|
>800 (26)
|
200 (27)
|
600 (28)
|
2013
|
(29)
|
(30)
|
160 (31)
|
525 (32)
|
2003
|
(33)
|
(34)
|
160 (35)
|
360 (36)
|
Required energy for
driving 100km
(Kwhr/100km)
|
2023
|
(37)
|
(38)
|
(39)
|
(40)
|
2013
|
(41)
|
(42)
|
13 (43)
|
36 (44)
|
2003
|
120 (45)
|
(46)
|
15 (47)
|
36 (48)
|
References:
(1), (2),
(3), (4) From a portfolio of power-trains for Europe, a fact-based analysis
-2012, exhibit 29
(7), (31), (43) BMW i3, commercial deployment in France, November 2013. 19KWhr lithium-ion
battery capacity. 12,9KWhr energy spent
per 100km
(8), (32), (44) Hyundai ix35, first commercial FCEV vehicle. Will be sold commercially in
2015. 5,6kg 700bar. Autonomy announced:
525km. Consumption of 1,1kg H2 per 100km
(25), (26),
(27), (28) From a portfolio of power-trains for Europe, a fact-based analysis
-2012, exhibit 36
(35)
Mitsubishi iMiEv. 160km autonomy with 16KWhr battery pack. David JC MacKay,
Sustainable Energy- without the hot air – 2009
(36) Honda
FCX clarity. H2 tank of 4,1kg, 350bar. Consumption of 91km/kg or 1,1kg H2 per
100km. David JC MacKay, Sustainable Energy- without the hot air – 2009
(45) Let’s
consider a typical consumption for ICE cars of 12L/100km (David JC MacKay,
Sustainable Energy- without the hot air – 2009) with an energy of 10KWhr/liter
of gasoil, so we get an energy of 120 Kwhr / 100 Km
(47) Study
by David JC MacKay, Sustainable Energy- without the hot air – 2009
(48) Energy
density of hydrogen is 33,3KWhr/Kg. Given the consumption of hydrogen cars of
1,1Kg per 100km. The energy necessary for driving 100km is 36KWhr
Notes :
The best-practice energy cost of making
hydrogen from natural gas is 63KWhr/kg (52Kwhr of natural gas and 11KWhr of
electricity) (CUTE, 2006). So filling up the tank of 4,1kg for the Honda FCX
Clarity has an energy cost of 258 KWhr and 69KWhr/100km. David JC MacKay,
Sustainable Energy- without the hot air – 2009
